As the map clearly shows, the states that really matter to Democrats in the actual election contest against the Republicans are California, New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Illinois, Massachusetts and Michigan. Clinton has prevailed in every single one of these states to have been contested so far except for Illinois -- and that's Obama's home turf. The only one left is Pennsylvania, which doesn't hold its primary until April 22.In other words, if Obama does somehow manage to become the nominee, the Democrats may well turn out to have pulled a Dukakis (Mondale, McGovern) once again. They'll be sending the candidate who lost in their primaries all the states they must win in the general election, and the one utterly without a resume, to do battle against the party that has dominated presidential election contests since World War II and a candidate who is a legitimate national hero.
Can Obama pull enough independants and moderate republicans to pull off a victory?
Will Obama be able to convince Clinton states that experience is over-rated?
Do you really want to put all of your eggs in this basket?
For all of the talk of the "Obama youth movement," the young are incredibly fickle, and every politician who has counted on their energy and support has inevitably been disappointed. When it comes to the voting booth, they just don't show.
What you can count on, is the 50+ voters, who do show up, time and time again. In states with heavy populations of senior voting blocks on Super Tuesday, and almost all of the other major contests on the board, seniors over 60 cast a larger percentage of the vote than young people did. And those voters almost invariably preferred Clinton: She won seniors everywhere except Illinois, Georgia, and Connecticut. In hotly contested states such as Massachusetts, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma, and Tennessee, Clinton won about three-fifths or more of the vote among seniors.
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