Saturday, March 29, 2008

WHY THE DEMOCRATS DESPERATELY HOPE HILLARY WILL LOSE

For all their delight in soaring voter registration and strong poll numbers, some Democrats fear the contest between Sens. Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton might have a nightmarish end, which could wreck a promising election year.
The chief worry is that Clinton may carry her recent winning streak into Pennsylvania, Indiana, North Carolina and other states, leaving her with unquestioned momentum but fewer pledged delegates than Obama. Party leaders then would face a wrenching choice: Steer the nomination to a fading Obama, even as signs suggested Clinton could be the stronger candidate in November; or go with the surging Clinton and risk infuriating Obama's supporters, especially blacks, the Democratic Party's most loyal base.
Some anxious Democrats want party elders to step in now to generate more "superdelegate" support for Obama, effectively choking off Clinton's hopes before she can bolster them further. But many say that is unlikely, and they pray the final 10 contests will make the ultimate choice fairly obvious, not excruciating.
Barring a complete meltdown by Obama, Clinton has almost no chance of surpassing his number of pledged delegates, even if she scores upset wins in states such as Oregon, which votes May 20. But such victories would encourage her to keep criticizing Obama - her only hope for the nomination - and thus heighten doubts about Obama's ability to defeat Republican Sen. John McCain in the fall. That scenario troubles many Democrats, especially those who feel Obama's nomination is all but inevitable.
Many undeclared superdelegates express confidence that all will be well. Democratic voters will unite in the fall, they say, and the injuries that Obama and Clinton inflict on each other this spring will heal. Privately, however, some party insiders worry that these superdelegates may be blithely marching toward a treacherous crossroad, where they will have to choose between a deeply wounded Obama and a soaring Clinton whose success was built on tearing down the party's front-runner in terms of delegates. A tear-down that is becoming more and more easily achieved, as the Obama camp has been wounded in recent weeks, through the very transparency they once espoused.
Reports of his connections to the Trinity Church, and its leader Rev. Wright, his friendship and nefarious dealings with Tony Rezko who is currently on trial for corruption, his wife's quotes of feeling no pride of her country, his omissions and romantic recollection of a father that cannot be defended, his complete lack of a resume, his dismal voting record (missed votes, and votes of "present"), as well as admitted previous drug use, serve to make him less of the "fresh face" candidate the public once fell in love with.
There is no doubt of Hillary's tenacity towards achieving her goals, or her certain double digit win upcoming in the state of Pennsylvania. If the New York senator also tops Obama in Indiana and North Carolina on May 6, West Virginia a week later, and Kentucky and/or Oregon on May 20, her supporters will argue that the dynamic has sharply changed in ways party leaders cannot ignore. Obama is no longer the sure-footed campaigner who piled up wins and delegates in February, they will say, and the superdelegates' obligation to the party is to nominate the sprinting Clinton, even if it angers Obama backers.
Whatever her motives, many Democrats fear that Clinton's continued criticisms can only hurt the man they see as their all-but-certain nominee. They point to a recent Gallup poll, in which 28 percent of Clinton's Democratic supporters said they would vote for McCain if Obama is the party's nominee. Nineteen percent of Obama's supporters said they would vote for McCain if Clinton gets the nod.
Faced with such disturbing trends, some Democrats want party elders either to persuade Clinton to drop out, or to orchestrate enough superdelegate endorsements of Obama to make her defeat inevitable. But high-profile Democrats, including former president Jimmy Carter, former vice president Al Gore, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean, have refrained from such moves so far.

2 comments:

Papa Giorgio said...

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Gore is still up for grabs...

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Kim said...

And he is unemployed. Wouldn't Clinton / Gore sound good? Or Obama / Clinton? Somehow I don't think Al's desired legacy is to be a four term VP....

Now Gore / Obama would be an interesting ticket.....